We’ve got reactions, analysis, and insight regarding the 2013 NBA Draft, the big Celtics/Nets trade, Doc Rivers landing in Los Angeles, and the Lakers’ #StayD12 campaign. Special guest: Tim Adkins.
Following Game 7, we decided to get together to talk about the Heat’s championship run and lay the 2012-13 NBA season to rest.
Come one, come all as the triangle triple post crew from The Peoples Court discusses the first four games of the NBA Finals, this week’s gossip and rumors, how a well run organization leads to a good product on the hardwood and how we foresee the final week of the 2012-2013 NBA season playing out.
- 00:00 – Introduction
- 2:30 – NBA Finals Impressions
- 18:40 – League fines 3 teams for tampering and Free Agent rules
- 26:46 – Jeff Van Gundy questions the quick firing of coaches
- 33:05 – Jason Kidd is hired to be head coach of the Brooklyn Nets
- 36:40 – Performances and Embarrassments of the Week
- 44:25 – Final Week predictions and closing
- NBA Fines 3 Teams For Tampering
- Jeff Van Gundy wonders why we don’t examine General Managers more closely
- Brooklyn Nets hire Jason Kidd as coach
- Sebastien De La Cruz Performs National Anthem
The Peoples’ brothers get together on a fine day to discuss the Spurs stunning Game 1 victory, analyze these NBA Finals, revisit our previous playoff predictions, and pick the 2013 NBA champion.
- 00:00 – Introduction
- 02:00 – Quick notes around the league: Roy Hibbert’s fine, Lionel Hollins’ interesting situation, George Karl’s firing, Jason Kidd’s and Grant HIll’s retirement
- 15:50 – Revisiting our playoff predictions
- 22:40 – NBA Finals thoughts and questions
- 44:20 – Performances and Embarrassments of the Week
- 49:25 – Finals predictions and closing
- Roy Hibbert fined for slur (ESPN)
- TPC’s playoff predictions
- Lamont’s prediction method
- Mark Cuban sponsors flopping research (SMU)
- Chris Bosh’s playoff shot chart (NBA.com)
Predicting the outcome of any NBA game isn’t an exact science. There are lots of previews to each game that incorporate statistical analysis, the talent levels of each roster, injuries, how well the two teams have been playing coming into the game, etc. These are usually written by experts who often times get it wrong which is why the game is both played and watched. Perhaps the most famous method of predicting the winner of any game is “Lawler’s Law”. It’s a simple method – created by former Philadelphia 76ers trainer Al Domenico and popularized by L.A. Clippers play-by-play announcer Ralph Lawler – which says that the first team to score 100 points wins.
Of course, using Lawler’s Law as a tool to predict who’s going to win between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers requires that you watch the game and hold off on declaring a winner until one of them reaches that golden number sometime in the fourth quarter. I have my own, less precise method of declaring a winner in the middle of a game. It’s a method that comes after watching thousands(???) of games played over the years, one that any basketball junkie can use and one that many probably use without realizing they use it.
My method (it’s really more of a feeling) is somewhat tough to put into writing. Yes it incorporates the talent level of the two teams or anything else you might find a game preview. In addition to those things I factor in that ever elusive Ms. Momentum, the number of careless mistakes the teams are making, which team is controlling the game tempo, who’s making the proper and more impactful plays, etc. I take all of these things into consideration and simply watch the game. In each game there’s usually about a 3 minute stretch of play that occurs where I can declare with a reasonable amount of confidence who’s going to win. That 3 minute stretch can happen at anytime during the game, but it typically happens for me after about 18 minutes of game play. Like I mentioned above, this isn’t an exact science so sometimes it doesn’t occur at all.
Game 6 of the 2013 NBA Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers is the perfect example of my method (I should give it a name). In the first half neither team could get any separation from each other. Miami held a 1 point edge after the first 24 minutes so basically the game was tied when the 3rd quarter started. That was when the Pacers made the first real attempt by either team to seize momentum by going on a 9-2 run which forced Miami to call timeout at the 8:49 mark.
Coming out of the timeout the Heat needed to respond and one would expect that’s exactly what they do. It was here that the 3 minute stretch happened for me. Lebron James missed a 3 on Miami’s first possession followed by consecutive turnovers by both teams, some missed shots, a Roy Hibbert layup off an offensive rebound and a free throw by Hibbert. The Heat have to take another timeout.
In the middle of those plays I turned towards my brother and said, “Game 7.” I said this despite the fact that it was only an 11 point lead. At that point it was the biggest lead of the game. It was also the first time either team had grabbed control of the game. Not only did the Pacers take control, but the Heat failed to make plays to take it back.
For anyone who was also watching the game, you know Indiana held a double-digit lead heading into the 4th quarter and that Miami cut the lead to 4 points. You’ll also recall a play where James was called for a questionable offensive foul down the stretch that lead to the Pacers pushing the lead back to 13 points. I’m guessing this is where most people finally thought the game was out of reach for the Heat. For me, this where I knew my 3rd quarter prediction was about to come true.
As the 2013 NBA Playoffs keeps on keeping on, the crew from The Peoples’ Court asks a few questions about the Naismith Memorial Basketball Hall of Fame’s voting process and wonders if anyone really cares about who gets in anymore. We also tried to figure out what’s going on in the minds of Chris Paul, Donald Sterling and the Los Angeles Clippers, decreed once and for all that legacy of the San Antonio Spurs is not boring and brought more Conference Finals analysis.
- 00:00 – Introduction
- 2:10 – Quick news from around the NBA.
- 5:25 – How much value does the Naismith Basketball Hall of Fame still have and does its voting process need to be changed?
- 10:15 – Chris Paul is not too happy with Donald Sterling and the L.A. Clippers.
- 16:15 – San Antonio Spurs earn their fifth NBA Finals appearance and don’t really care if you think they’re boring.
- 23:40 – Eastern Conference Finals reactions and analysis.
- 40:10 – Performance and Embarrassment of The Week
- Bernard King and Gary Payton headline 2013 Basketball Hall of Fame class
- Hall of Fame election process
- Chris Paul angry with Clippers’ management
- Lebron James comments on players flopping