Find out who our panel thinks will miss the playoffs that made it last year, and which teams will replace them.
This week we took a look at the many questions facing the Indiana Pacers following their playoff exit, the sale of the Clippers to Steve Ballmer for $2 billion, and a potential Finals rematch between the Heat and Spurs.
Previewing the Conference Finals, calling into question Chris Paul’s leadership ability and #pointgod status, and discussing how race impacts coaching in the NBA.
- Tom Ziller on the NBA’s race problem for coaches (SB Nation)
- Scott Ostler: Is there a different standard for black coaches? (SFGate)
- Marcus Thompson: Warriors, Mark Jackson and the question of race (Mercury News)
Our round ball triumvirate is so good, you’d never know they threw together a show asking if the NBA’s tanking epidemic is as a big of a problem that is being made out to be or is it simply a distraction from the bigger issue?
A busy week in the NBA. We took a look at the myriad of problems happening in Indiana, Mark Jackson’s job status in Golden State and glanced at the playoff picture. We also discussed Kobe Bryant’s controversial quote in a New Yorker article and rounded things off with our Performances and Embarrassments of the Week.
The trade deadline has come and gone and we analyzed a few of the trades that took place. We offered a few suggestions new NBA Commissioner Adam Silver. We also tried to answer the question of how would we view players if we didn’t know their salaries? Of course, what would an episode on the court be if we didn’t share with you our Performances and Embarrassments of The Week?
The second half of our special two-part episode – check out part one here – features Lamont and Chris discussing Kobe Bryant’s latest injury, the Kendrick Perkins/Joakim Noah spat, NBA rivalries, the Houston Rockets’ onslaught of the three-point line, a new rule named after Antoine Walker, and so much more.
- 01:30 – Kobe suffers another setback
- 05:17 – Brook Lopez is out for the season
- 06:35 – Kendrick Perkins, Head of Locker Room Security
- 11:50 – NBA Rivalries
- 23:10 – Trade update
- 27:20 – A three-point love affair
- 35:35 – Should there be fours?
- 40:30 – Performances and Embarrassments of the Week
- The Peoples Court Episode 139a
- Kendrick Perkins polices the locker room (Ball Don’t Lie)
- Rockets in Revolt (TrueHoop)
Predicting the outcome of any NBA game isn’t an exact science. There are lots of previews to each game that incorporate statistical analysis, the talent levels of each roster, injuries, how well the two teams have been playing coming into the game, etc. These are usually written by experts who often times get it wrong which is why the game is both played and watched. Perhaps the most famous method of predicting the winner of any game is “Lawler’s Law”. It’s a simple method – created by former Philadelphia 76ers trainer Al Domenico and popularized by L.A. Clippers play-by-play announcer Ralph Lawler – which says that the first team to score 100 points wins.
Of course, using Lawler’s Law as a tool to predict who’s going to win between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers requires that you watch the game and hold off on declaring a winner until one of them reaches that golden number sometime in the fourth quarter. I have my own, less precise method of declaring a winner in the middle of a game. It’s a method that comes after watching thousands(???) of games played over the years, one that any basketball junkie can use and one that many probably use without realizing they use it.
My method (it’s really more of a feeling) is somewhat tough to put into writing. Yes it incorporates the talent level of the two teams or anything else you might find a game preview. In addition to those things I factor in that ever elusive Ms. Momentum, the number of careless mistakes the teams are making, which team is controlling the game tempo, who’s making the proper and more impactful plays, etc. I take all of these things into consideration and simply watch the game. In each game there’s usually about a 3 minute stretch of play that occurs where I can declare with a reasonable amount of confidence who’s going to win. That 3 minute stretch can happen at anytime during the game, but it typically happens for me after about 18 minutes of game play. Like I mentioned above, this isn’t an exact science so sometimes it doesn’t occur at all.
Game 6 of the 2013 NBA Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers is the perfect example of my method (I should give it a name). In the first half neither team could get any separation from each other. Miami held a 1 point edge after the first 24 minutes so basically the game was tied when the 3rd quarter started. That was when the Pacers made the first real attempt by either team to seize momentum by going on a 9-2 run which forced Miami to call timeout at the 8:49 mark.
Coming out of the timeout the Heat needed to respond and one would expect that’s exactly what they do. It was here that the 3 minute stretch happened for me. Lebron James missed a 3 on Miami’s first possession followed by consecutive turnovers by both teams, some missed shots, a Roy Hibbert layup off an offensive rebound and a free throw by Hibbert. The Heat have to take another timeout.
In the middle of those plays I turned towards my brother and said, “Game 7.” I said this despite the fact that it was only an 11 point lead. At that point it was the biggest lead of the game. It was also the first time either team had grabbed control of the game. Not only did the Pacers take control, but the Heat failed to make plays to take it back.
For anyone who was also watching the game, you know Indiana held a double-digit lead heading into the 4th quarter and that Miami cut the lead to 4 points. You’ll also recall a play where James was called for a questionable offensive foul down the stretch that lead to the Pacers pushing the lead back to 13 points. I’m guessing this is where most people finally thought the game was out of reach for the Heat. For me, this where I knew my 3rd quarter prediction was about to come true.
It seems that every time the three of us get together, it turns into Steroid Hour with Chris, Lamont, and Adam. It’s not our intention, but every week something happens that makes it more apparent that steroids play a huge role in the NBA. We also talked about our experience going to a Laker game, George Hill’s exasperation with the lack of support from Indiana’s home crowd, Kobe Bryant’s ankle injury and a detour into steroids, former players getting booed, Miami’s impressive win streak, and Adam’s bold prediction.
- 00:00 – Introduction
- 02:15 – The Peoples Brothers go to a Laker game
- 05:40 – George Hill upset over lack of fan support in Indiana
- 17:55 – Kobe Bryant’s Anklegate
- 26:23 – STEROIDS!
- 30:40 – Should former players get booed?
- 41:45 – Performances and Embarrassments of the Week
- 56:30 – Miami’s won 21 straight games, and Adam makes a bold prediction for the rest of their season
- George Hill sounds off on lack of fan support (Pacers Insider)
- Kobe Bryant is upset over his ankle injury (Larry Brown Sports)
- DeAndre Jordan’s dunk of the year candidate (YouTube)